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SPC Day 1 Outlook

Updates are issued at 0600 UTC, 1300 UTC, 1630 UTC, 2000 UTC, 0100 UTC - Current UTC time: Nov 18 2018 8:30 pm


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Day 2


Categorical Day 1 Outlook

000
ACUS01 KWNS 181940
SWODY1
SPC AC 181938

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0138 PM CST Sun Nov 18 2018

Valid 182000Z - 191200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms remain possible over coastal south Texas into
tonight, but no severe weather is expected.

...Discussion...

Only minor adjustments have been made to previous forecast.

..Dial.. 11/18/2018

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1030 AM CST Sun Nov 18 2018/

...TX coastal plain...
Thunderstorm potential today will be relegated to the TX coastal
plain and offshore waters through tonight. This will be near/ahead
of a southeastward-moving cold front that will begin to stall along
and off the coast by tonight. While a few weak/transient supercells
could occur off the lower/middle TX coast, weak lapse rates/buoyancy
inland along with modest strength low-level winds suggest that
severe potential will be negligible over inland areas.

$$
        

Day 3

Day 4

Largly based on original scripts from Ken True: saratoga-weather.org and Rick Curly: ricksturf.com